How to set up projections and reduction targets

Last updated: 10 April 2026

Projections Targets Net Zero

Projections and Targets lets you model what your emissions will look like into the future — based on your measured data, expected growth, and planned reductions. Use it to set science-based targets, track your gap to net zero, and communicate your decarbonisation trajectory to stakeholders. Navigate to Targets & Strategy > Projections in the side menu.

In this article, you'll learn how to:

Configure your base year and growth assumptions
Set near-term and net-zero reduction targets
Read your gap-to-target dashboard
Download projection data for external use

Projections are based on your measured emissions. Ensure you have at least one completed reporting period with processed data before setting up projections.

Configuring Your Assumptions

Click Edit Assumptions on the projections dashboard to configure the inputs that drive your model.

Set the base year

Select the reporting period that serves as your starting point. This is typically your first complete carbon inventory — often the earliest year for which you have reliable data.

Define the annual growth rate

Enter your expected annual growth rate as a percentage. This accounts for business growth that would naturally increase emissions before any reduction actions are taken.

Set the projection start year

Choose the year from which the projection begins. This is usually the year after your base year.

Set the projected reduction

Enter the overall percentage reduction you expect to achieve by your target year. For example, 50% by 2030.

Define science-based targets

Set your near-term target (e.g., 50% reduction by 2030) and your net-zero target (e.g., 90% reduction by 2050). These align with the Science Based Targets initiative (SBTi) framework.

Save your assumptions

Click Save. The dashboard will update to reflect your configured trajectory.

Reading the Dashboard

Once configured, the projections dashboard shows:

Base year emissions — Your measured starting point
Projected trajectory — Where your emissions are heading based on growth and reduction assumptions
Target line — The reduction path needed to hit your near-term and net-zero goals
Gap to target — The difference between your projected emissions and your target, showing how much additional reduction is needed

The gap-to-target view helps you understand whether your current trajectory is sufficient, or whether additional decarbonisation actions are needed. This is essential for transition planning and reporting under frameworks like AASB S2.

Downloading Projection Data

Click Download to export your projection data as a spreadsheet. This is useful for including projections in board presentations, transition plans, or external reports.

FAQ

What is a base year and how do I choose one?

The base year is the reference point against which you measure reduction progress. Choose the earliest year for which you have a complete and reliable carbon inventory. If your data quality improves significantly in a later year, you may choose that instead — but document your reasoning.

Do I need to follow SBTi to use this feature?

No. You can set any reduction targets that suit your organisation. However, the near-term and net-zero fields are designed to align with SBTi if you choose to commit to science-based targets.

What happens if I update my emissions data after setting projections?

Projections are linked to your measured data. If your base year emissions change (e.g., due to a data correction or recalculation), the projections will update accordingly.

Can I model different scenarios?

You can adjust your growth rate and reduction assumptions to explore different scenarios. Save your preferred configuration and download alternatives for comparison.

How does this relate to my AASB S2 disclosure?

AASB S2 requires disclosure of your transition plans and targets. The projections dashboard provides the data you need for the metrics and targets pillar of your disclosure.

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